数据模型与决策 管理科学基础（含CD-ROM光盘一张） (2008 年度畅销榜NO.84785 )

本书把概率统计和管理科学这两个截然不同领域的内容，整合成管理与商务中的数量方法与模型。本书强调了管理决策的实用分析方法中至关重要的基础概念，重点讲述了以下内容：不确定性的建模与评估，决策的动态特性，怎样有效地运用历史数据与有限的信息，如何模拟复杂系统，以及最优配置稀缺资源等等。 \r\n 本书既提供了概念化的论述，给出院相关的实际内容。本书的教学宗旨是把概念、相关过程与可读性完美结合。\r\n 尽管履盖面广，但本书还是比其他教科书更简洁。书中相关的例子，同时用练习与单元案例来加强阐述。\r\n\r\n

CHAPTER 1 DECISION ANALYSIS\r\n 1.1 A decision tree model and its analysis\r\n 1.2 summary of the general method of decision analysis \r\n 1.3 another decision the model and its analysis\r\n 1.4 the need for a systematic theory of probabilty\r\n 1.5 further issues and concluding remarks on decition analysis \r\n 1.6 case modules\r\n kendall crab and lobstr,inc\r\n buying a house\r\n the acquisition of DSOFT\r\n national realty investment corporation\r\n 1.7 exercises \r\nCHAPTER 2 FUNDANENTALS OF DISCRETE PROBABILITY\r\n 2.1 outcomes,probabilities and events\r\n 2.2 the laws of probability\r\n 2.3 working with probabilties and probabillty tables\r\n ……\r\nCHAPTER 3 CONTINUOUS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ANO THELR APPLICATIONS\r\nCHAPTER 4 STATLSTICAL SAMPLING\r\nCHAPTER 5 SIMULATION MODELING:CONCEPTS AND PRACTICE\r\nCHAPTER 6 REGPESSION MODELS:CONCEPTS AND PRACTICE\r\nCHAPTER 7 LINEAR OPTLMIZATION\r\nCHAPTER 8 NONLINEAR OPTIMIZATION\r\nCHAPTER 9 DISCRETE OPTIMIZATION\r\nCHAPTER 10 INTEGRATION IN THE AT OF KECISION MODELING\r\nAPPENDIX\r\nREFERENCES\r\nINODEX\r\n

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